Mavs Playoff Watch: Week 12 (1/2-1/8)

The Mavericks are falling farther and farther back each week.  The team is in dire need of a serious turnaround if they are going to compete for a playoff spot in the Western Conference.  They have dropped 1.5 more games behind the Southwest Division leading Houston Rockets and another .5 game back from the 8 seed in the West.

Standings

Southwest Division W L W/L% GB
Houston Rockets (5) 23 16 0.59
San Antonio Spurs (6) 24 17 0.585
New Orleans Pelicans (12) 19 22 0.463 5
Dallas Mavericks (13)  18 22 0.45 5.5
Memphis Grizzlies (13) 18 22 0.45 5.5

 

Western Conference W L W/L% GB
Denver Nuggets (1) 27 12 0.692
Golden State Warriors (2) 27 14 0.659 1
Oklahoma City Thunder (3) 25 15 0.625 2.5
Los Angeles Clippers (4) 24 16 0.6 3.5
Houston Rockets (5) 23 16 0.59 4
San Antonio Spurs (6) 24 17 0.585 4
Portland Trail Blazers (6) 24 17 0.585 4
Los Angeles Lakers (8) 22 19 0.537 6
Sacramento Kings (9) 20 21 0.488 8
Minnesota Timberwolves (9) 20 21 0.488 8
Utah Jazz (9) 20 21 0.488 8
New Orleans Pelicans (12) 19 22 0.463 9
Dallas Mavericks (13)  18 22 0.45 9.5
Memphis Grizzlies (13) 18 22 0.45 9.5
Phoenix Suns (15) 10 32 0.238 18.5

Game Recaps

1/2 – @ Charlotte Hornets – Win 122-84:

This was the performance a lot of Mavericks fans have been hoping for, a blowout win on the road.  Dallas shot 46% from the field, 40% from 3, and only had 12 turnovers all game.  The Mavs were absolutely lights out from behind the arc to start the game, scoring 42 points in the first quarter and setting a franchise high made 3’s in a quarter with 10.

Up 65-41 at halftime, the Mavs were able to hold that lead and allow the starters to earn some rest in the fourth quarter as nobody on the team even played 30 minutes.  When shots are dropping like they were in this game it is a ton of fun to watch.  However, as the rest of the week would show, I think this hot shooting early in the week left the team unfocused for a tough back-to-back with Boston and Philadelphia.

Mavericks

STARTERS

 

MIN

 

PTS

 

REB

 

AST

 

STL

 

BLK

 

TO

 

PF

 

+/-

D. Smith Jr. 22 18 0 7 3 0 2 1 5
L. Doncic 26 18 10 4 0 0 2 0 14
H. Barnes 29 17 4 1 1 1 0 1 14
W. Matthews 25 11 3 1 1 1 0 1 14
D. Jordan 24 8 13 1 0 1 0 3 15
BENCH MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO PF +/-
D. Powell 23 15 8 2 1 1 1 1 23
M. Kleber 12 8 4 1 1 0 2 0 9
D. Finney-Smith 21 7 7 3 1 0 3 1 24
D. Nowitzki 6 6 2 0 0 0 0 0 15
J. Barea 13 5 2 6 1 0 0 2 24
D. Harris 12 5 0 1 0 0 0 0 18
S. Mejri 9 2 4 0 0 0 0 3 6
J. Brunson 12 2 0 4 0 0 0 1 9
Total 122 57 31 9 4 10 14

Hornets

STARTERS

 

MIN

 

PTS

 

REB

 

AST

 

STL

 

BLK

 

TO

 

PF

 

+/-

K. Walker 26 11 3 5 0 0 0 1 -16
D. Graham 33 10 1 2 2 0 3 6 -34
M. Williams 22 10 2 2 0 0 0 2 -11
N. Batum 28 8 5 4 1 0 2 2 -25
W. Hernangomez 18 6 10 1 0 1 1 2 -14
BENCH MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO PF +/-
B. Biyombo 14 10 7 1 0 1 0 0 6
M. Bridges 24 8 5 2 0 0 2 2 -5
M. Kidd-Gilchrist 13 6 0 1 0 0 0 2 -26
F. Kaminsky 16 5 6 3 1 0 1 0 -20
J. Macura 13 4 2 2 0 0 0 0 -7
D. Bacon 16 4 3 0 0 0 4 2 -11
T. Parker 6 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -14
M. Monk 5 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -13
Total 84 46 23 4 3 14 20

 

 

1/4 – @ Boston Celtics – Loss 93-114:

The Mavs got off to a real rocky start in Boston, going down 7-19 just a few minutes into the game.  They were able to rally back in the middle of the first quarter but the Mavs bench was destroyed in the last few minutes of the quarter putting them down 11 points after the first.  Throughout the first half and into the beginning of the third quarter this ebb and flow continued, the Celtics would go up big, then the Mavs would cut it close.  The remainder of the second half was a different story and this turned out to be a blowout.  So much so that the game turned into the whole crown cheering for one thing:  Dirk Nowitzki to get a bucket.  Up until the final seconds of the game the Boston Garden was buzzing with excitement watching Dirk’s last run in Boston.  He has had some great games and great battles against Pierce and Garnett with Boston over the years (as shown in our previous article:  Dirk versus Everybody) so it was great to see him get some love from the road crowd.

Dirk tried to give the people what they want but it was just not his night.  He has over 31,000 points in his career but he failed to get a single one in this game.  0-10 from the field, including 0-8 from downtown, and -23 in the box score.  As a team the Mavericks only shot 39% from the field including 25% from 3.

Mavericks

STARTERS

MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO PF +/-
H. Barnes 32 20 3 1 0 0 1 0 2
L. Doncic 29 19 9 4 0 0 3 1 3
D. Jordan 31 12 15 2 1 2 0 1 1
D. Smith Jr. 31 9 2 3 3 0 2 3 -10
W. Matthews 30 11 3 2 1 0 3 1 4
BENCH MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO PF +/-
D. Nowitzki 16 0 2 0 0 0 1 3 -23
D. Powell 17 6 8 0 1 0 0 0 -22
D. Finney-Smith 18 1 2 0 1 0 0 0 -25
D. Harris 16 9 1 1 2 0 1 2 -15
J.J. Barea 18 6 4 2 0 0 3 2 -14
J. Brunson 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -6
TEAM 93 49 16 9 2 14 13

Celtics

STARTERS MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO PF +/-
J. Tatum 31 18 6 0 1 0 2 2 3
A. Horford 25 10 8 8 2 0 1 1 1
T. Rozier 28 8 5 7 1 1 0 0 11
M. Smart 32 17 4 3 1 0 1 1 1
J. Brown 27 21 2 2 3 0 1 4 20
BENCH MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO PF +/-
S. Ojeleye 17 8 2 0 0 0 2 3 18
G. Yabusele 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
D. Theis 23 8 13 3 1 2 2 2 20
G. Hayward 30 16 11 8 0 1 2 2 6
P. Dozier 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
B. Wanamaker 22 8 2 4 3 0 1 1 13
TEAM 114 53 35 12 4 12 16

1/5 – @ Philadelphia 76ers – Loss 100-106:

The End score of this game makes it look a lot closer than it actually was.  The Mavericks started got worked in this game, the highest scorer was Wes Matthews with 18 points but he was still -17 in the box score and had 5 fouls, provided 2 rebounds, 0 assists, and 0 steals.  All of the starters had huge minus numbers in the box score +/-, measuring how well the team did when each player was on the floor.

The real magic in this game came when they gave the ball to Jalen Brunson.  In his 26 minutes Brunson put together a near triple double of 13 points, 11 rebounds, and 8 assists.  With JJ Barea in street clothes Jalen Brunson came in and executed the second team offense to perfection.  With sharpshooter Ryan Broekhoff dealing from downtown and Kleber and Finney-Smith doing the dirty work, the Mavs second unit was able to bring the team back from 19 down int he fourth quarter to being down by just 4 points with 50 seconds to go.  They were not able to complete the comeback but it was definitely an impressive performance from rookie Jalen Brunson and a guy who has not seen much game time yet in Ryan Broekhoff.

Mavericks

STARTERS

MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO PF +/-
H. Barnes 26 7 5 2 0 0 2 3 -18
L. Doncic 26 14 8 4 2 0 0 1 -18
D. Jordan 31 8 8 5 0 0 3 4 -9
D. Smith Jr. 22 2 1 4 0 0 1 4 -15
W. Matthews 24 18 2 0 0 0 0 5 -17
BENCH MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO PF +/-
D. Powell 17 13 4 1 1 2 1 1 3
M. Kleber 22 6 7 0 0 0 0 3 12
D. Finney-Smith 24 4 2 0 0 0 3 2 11
J. Brunson 26 13 11 8 1 0 2 0 9
R. Broekhoff 22 15 1 3 0 1 3 0 12
TEAM 100 49 27 4 3 15 23

76ers

STARTERS MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO PF +/-
J. Bolden 29 11 9 3 0 2 1 4 11
J. Embiid 35 25 12 5 1 1 2 4 7
B. Simmons 36 20 14 11 0 0 4 2 12
J. Redick 34 20 2 2 2 0 1 0 13
F. Korkmaz 28 7 6 4 0 0 0 1 1
BENCH MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO PF +/-
M. Muscala 15 4 3 1 0 0 1 4 -11
L. Shamet 24 7 1 1 1 0 0 3 1
T.J. McConnell 29 6 1 4 3 0 1 2 -2
S. Milton 11 6 2 0 0 2 0 0 -2
TEAM 106 50 31 7 5 10 20

1/7 – Los Angeles Lakers – Loss 97-107:

This game was a tale of two halves.  In the first half the Mavs were firing on all cylinders, taking a nice 13 point lead into halftime. by the end of the third quarter the momentum and the lead had completely swung in the Lakers favor as the Mavs entered the fourth quarter down by 6.  The Mavericks were outscored 32-12 in the third quarter alone, the Lakers were running and gunning and the Mavs were ice cold.

Neither team shot the ball very well, Mavs were 42% from the field and 27% from 3 point range while the Lakers were 44% from the field on 28% long range shooting.  The main different in this game was turnovers and fast break points.  The Lakers were supposed to be the tired team coming into this one, without LeBron James and on the second night of a back to back.  However, the Lakers were able to force 19 turnovers in the game and scored 34 fast break points compared to just 5 for the Mavericks.

It was a pretty ugly game from the Mavericks perspective, Doncic was the high man for the Mavs with 27 points, but the next best mark was 11 posted by Barnes, Smith jr., and Barea.  Along with that, the mere 12 assists that the Mavs had in this game is the lowest number by a Mavericks team in a game since November of 2016.  There was no ball movement, they were getting beat up and down the floor, and they weren’t making shots.  The Mavericks could have salvaged a decent week had they been able to show up for this game but unfortunately for Mavs fans they did not.

Jalen Brunson and Ryan Broekhoff, the stars of the game before, were the only DNPs for the Mavericks in this game.  Instead of playing these two, and instead of giving Maxi Kleber (5 minutes) and Dorian Finney-Smith (15 minutes) more minutes, Rick Carlisle decided to play Wes Matthews 32 minutes where he went 2-8 for 5 points, 2 rebounds, and 2 assists.

Mavericks

STARTERS MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO PF +/-
H. Barnes 34 11 4 0 2 0 1 1 -5
L. Doncic 35 27 8 2 1 1 1 3 -7
D. Jordan 33 10 19 0 2 3 5 4 -5
D. Smith Jr. 27 11 0 1 3 0 4 3 -1
W. Matthews 32 5 2 2 1 0 3 2 -7
BENCH MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO PF +/-
D. Nowitzki 13 2 2 2 0 1 0 2 -5
D. Powell 15 8 7 2 0 1 0 3 -5
M. Kleber 5 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 -5
D. Finney-Smith 15 8 8 0 1 0 1 0 0
D. Harris 13 4 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3
J.J. Barea 19 11 1 3 0 0 1 1 -7
TEAM 97 52 12 10 7 18 20

Lakers

STARTERS

MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO PF +/-
K. Kuzma 37 13 5 3 0 0 2 2 8
B. Ingram 37 29 3 6 2 0 2 4 14
J. McGee 23 8 10 0 0 0 3 5 -4
L. Ball 37 21 7 5 2 0 2 2 8
J. Hart 44 14 12 6 5 0 2 4 16
BENCH MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO PF +/-
M. Beasley 9 13 0 1 0 1 0 1 5
I. Zubac 4 4 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2
T. Chandler 19 2 4 2 2 1 1 2 13
S. Mykhailiuk 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -6
L. Stephenson 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -5
K. Caldwell-Pope 21 3 1 3 1 0 0 0 3
TEAM 107 44 28 12 2 13 20

 

 

Weekly Player Stats (Last 7 Days)

This was not a good week for Harrison Barnes, just 14 points in 30 minutes on 33% shooting over the 4 games this week.  What is growing more and more frustrating with Harrison Barnes is his one-dimensional game.  He is 26 years old, 6’8″ and 225 pounds, and can jump out of the gym.  Barnes has good offensive 1-on-1 skills and is a good spot up shooter but he fails to impact the game in any other way.  With his ability to both shoot and attack the basket you would think HB would be have more assists than the 1.1 per game that he is averaging this season.  He is third on the team in usage percentage but he is 13th on the team in assist percentage.  Coming into this season it was clear that Barnes worked on his three point shot, it is much quicker and more efficient this season, bumping his three point percentage from 36% last season to a scorching hot 42% this season.  The next progressions for Harrison Barnes needs to be to try to make his teammates better.  HB is potentially a free agent this summer so he is going to want to make this progression sooner rather than later.

The 13 minutes per game for Maxi Kleber drives me crazy.  This is an elite rim protector, good floor spacer, and great hustle guy just sitting on our bench.  I know Dwight Powell is very efficient while JJ Barea is feeding him alley oops but his lack of offensive versatility and complete inability to protect the rim should give way to Maxi seeing more minutes.  The only thing I can figure at this point is that the Mavericks are trying to suppress his value as he approaches restricted free-agency this summer.

Luka is still doing his thing, throwing together a 19.5 point, 8.8 rebound week.  It is good to see his turnovers coming down, posting a nice 2.3 assist/turnover ratio this week.  His free-throw shooting has improved since early season woes, 74.4% on the season, but this week’s 57% on 5.3 attempts per game did not help his cause.

PLAYER MIN FG% FT% 3PM REB AST STL BLK TO PTS
Barnes 30.3 33% 94% 2 4 1 0.8 0.3 1 13.8
Jordan 29.8 71% 80% 0 13.8 2 0.8 1.5 2 9.5
Doncic 29 39% 57% 2.5 8.8 3.5 0.8 0.3 1.5 19.5
Matthews 27.8 49% 83% 2 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.3 1.5 11.3
Smith Jr 25.5 43% 71% 1.3 0.8 3.8 2.3 0 2.3 10
Fin.-Smith 19.8 39% 50% 0.3 4.8 0.8 0.8 0 1.8 5
Powell 18.3 64% 70% 0.8 6.5 1.3 1 1 0.5 10.5
Barea 17 36% 50% 0.3 2.3 3.7 0.3 0 1.3 7.3
Harris 14 41% 100% 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0 1 6
Brunson 13.3 25% 100% 0.3 3.7 4.3 0.3 0 0.7 5
Kleber 13 67% 0% 0.7 3.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 4.7
Nowitzki 12 18% 0% 0.7 2 0.7 0 0.3 0.3 2.7
Mejri 10 20% 0% 0 4 0 0 0 0 2

 

Western Conference Power Rankings:

Denver has earned their top spot.  They have now sat atop the Western Conference since week 9. They may want to enjoy it now because news is out that DeMarcus Cousins is set to make his season debut within the next 2 weeks.  This will make the Warriors the first team to ever have 5 All-Stars from the previous season on the same starting unit.

The Mavs have not risen in these power rankings since week 8 when they climbed all the way to #5 with their 14-11 record, sitting 7th in the West and seemingly on their way up.  Since then the Mavs have gone 4-11 and have dropped to 13th in the power rankings and tied for 13th in the West.

Houston and San Antonio are flying up the power rankings, both finding their way past the Thunder who have been 3rd or better for the past 4 weeks.  Bad news for the Mavs that their Southwest Division rivals are both heating up.

1.Denver Nuggets (27-12, 1st in West) (3-1 this week) ↑1

This Week: W @SAC, W CHA, L @HOU, W @MIA.

Next Week: LAC, @PHO, POR, GSW.

2.Golden State Warriors (27-14 overall, 2nd) (2-1 this week) ↓1

This Week: L Hou, W @SAC, W NYK

Next Week: CHI, @DAL, @DEN.

3.Houston Rockets (23-16, 5th) (2-1 this week) ↑2

This Week: W @GSW, L @POR, W DEN.

Next Week: MIL, CLE, @ORL, @MEM.

4.San Antonio (24-17, T-6th) (3-0 this week) ↑2

This Week: W TOR, W MEM, W @DET.

Next Week: @MEM, OKC, @OKC, CHA.

5.OKC Thunder (25-15, 3rd) (2-2 this week) ↓2

This Week: W @LAL, W @POR, L WSH, L MIN.

Next Week:  @SAS, SAS, @ATL.

6.LA Clippers (24-16, 4th) (3-0 this week) ↑2

This week: W @PHO, W ORL, W CHA.

Next Week: @DEN, DET, NOP.

7.Portland Trailblazers (24-17, T-6th) (2-1 this week) ↓3

This Week: L OKC, W HOU, W NYK.

Next Week: CHI, CHA, @DEN, @SAC.

8.Utah Jazz (20-21, 11th) (2-1 this week) ↑2

This Week: W @CLE, W @DET, L @MIL.

Next Week: ORL, LAL, CHI, DET.

9.Minnesota Timberwolves (20-21, 13th) (3-1 this week) ↑5

This week: L @BOS, W ORL, W LAL, W @OKC.

Next Week: DAL, NOP, @PHI.

10.Los Angeles Lakers (22-19, 8th) (1-3 this week) ↓3

This week: L OKC, L NYK, L @MIN, W @DAL.

Next Week: DET, @UTA, CLE, CHI.

11.Sacramento Kings (20-21, 9th) (1-2 this week) ↓2

This week: L DEN, L GSW, W ORL, L @PHO.

Next Week: DET, CHA, POR.

12. New Orleans Pelicans (19-22, 14th) (1-2 this week) ↑1

This Week: L @BKN, W @CLE, W MEM.

Next Week: CLE, @MIN, @LAC.

13.Dallas Mavericks (18-22, 12th) (1-3 this week) ↓1

This Week: W @CHA, L @BOS, L @PHI, L LAL.

Next Week: PHO, @MIN, GSW.

14.Memphis Grizzlies (18-22, 10th) (0-4 this week) ↓3

This Week: L DET, L BKN, L @SAS, L @NOP.

Next Week: SAS, @MIA, @HOU.

15.Phoenix Suns (10-32, 15th) (1-3 this week) 

This Week: L PHI, L LAC, L CHA, W SAC.

Next Week: @DAL, DEN, @IND, @TOR.

Western Conference 2018-2019 Team Stats

Teams are listed in order of their standings in the Western Conference. The following heat map shows which teams excel in certain statistical categories and where teams are under performing league average.  The darker the green the more they outperform in that category and the darker the red the worse they are in that category.

ORtg – Offensive Rating – points scored per 100 possessions.
DRtg – Defensive Rating – points allowed per 100 possessions.
NRtg – Net Rating – Difference between Offensive and Defensive Ratings. No surprise that the top 3 teams in the conference are by far the top 3 in Net Rating.  However, if we could adjust these stats to not include October, I think the Mavs would be right up there with the best.

 

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