Under the Radar FA’s Who Can Help the Mavs

There is a ton of eyes on Kawhi Leonard, Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving, and Klay Thompson to see whether the landscape of the NBA will change this summer when 2019 Free Agency starts.  If one of these players were to leave their teams then that will have incredible ripple effects throughout NBA rosters.

Then all eyes shift to guys like Butler, Harris, Middleton, Brogdon, Russell, Walker, Vucevic, Randle, ect. There are a plethora of big names who are free agents with big talents and who expect big paydays.  Every team with cap space and any fan with a twitter account is pleading their case for this type of talent to join their teams. So much money will go to the top 15 free agents that there is very quickly less and less money for teams to spend but so many talented players still available.

The key to building a consistent winning team is not just to have top level talent, which the Mavs have in Luka and Porzingis, but to build out your entire roster with productive players who can contribute in winning ways.  Here are a few players that won’t get many headlines in free agency but can go a long way in putting together a contending team. Some of these guys will be overpaid in free agency but several other will slip through the cracks and be available on very reasonable contracts.

Guards

Green

Danny Green
Type 2018 Salary 2019 Option Career Earnings
UFA $10 M N/A $52.7M
Season Age G MP FG% 3P% FT% REB AST STL BLK TO PTS
2018-19 31 80 27.7 47% 46% 84% 4 1.6 0.9 0.7 0.9 10.3
Career 620 25.4 42% 40% 82% 3.5 1.6 1 0.8 1 9

Danny Green has never averaged more than 12 points per game and never played more than 29 minutes per game, but he is an NBA Champion from the 2014 Spurs team (made 27 threes in that series), and was named to one of the 2017 All-Defense teams.

Over his career Danny Green has made 1.9 threes per game at a 40% clip, good for 32nd best all-time. At 6’6″ and super athletic, Danny Green has been able to post career marks of 1.4 steals and 1.2 blocks per 36 minutes.  He is not the tallest guy or biggest leaper but he has incredible timing for both blocks and steals. An elite perimeter defender and an elite 3 point shooter, two of the main things that the Mavericks are in need of.  He could easily fit into the Swiss Army Knife group that we will look at next, he just happens to also be one of the league’s best shooters as well.

Danny Green made $10 million this year and that seems like a good benchmark (maybe a little low) for what he will earn on his next deal.  Still 31 years old and has not appeared to have lost a step, I think there are several good years left in Danny Green’s career as a really god defender.  He would be a perfect compliment to Luka and KP and would be an ideal role player for a team that shot the third most threes in the league last year.

*Warning: there may be explicit language in highlight videos.

 

Satoransky
Tomas Satoransky
Type 2018 Salary 2019 Option Career Earnings
UFA $3.1 M N/A $9 M
Season Age G MP FG% 3P% FT% REB AST STL BLK TO PTS
2018-19 27 80 27.1 49% 40% 82% 3.5 5 1 0.2 1.5 8.9
Career 210 21.6 49% 40% 79% 2.8 3.7 0.8 0.2 1.1 6.6

Thomas Satoransky is a 6’7″ PG/SG who was a second round draft pick, 32nd overall, by the Washington Wizards in 2012 out of the Czech Republic.  It was not until 2016 until Satoransky actually came to the NBA when he signed a 3yr/$9M deal with the Wizards.  

This season Satoransky has really turned himself into a productive player, shooter, and playmaker. He does not take a lot of shots, but when he does Satoransky is one of the most efficient shooters around.  He takes good shots, makes the right pass, and plays within the team.

There were only 3 players in the NBA averaged at least 15 minutes per game and had per 36 minute stats of at least 6.5 assists and 4.5 rebounds; Kyrie Irving, Joe Ingles, and Tomas Satoransky.

Although he a fairly unknown NBA commodity and does not have eye popping numbers I think Thomas Satoransky would be a great addition to the Mavericks for next season.  At 27 years old he is just coming into his prime, perhaps a great guy to invest in that could end up outplaying his contract by the time it is done.  They say their is a European bias in the NBA, that General Managers are hesitant invest in guys from overseas.  This seems to be a trend that the Dallas Mavericks are taking advantage of with Luka and Porzingis, maybe Satoransky is a guy that will fall through the cracks as well.

*Warning: there may be explicit language in highlight videos.

 

Matthews

Wesley Matthews
Type 2018 Salary 2019 Option Career Earnings
UFA $18.6 M N/A $103 M
Season Age G MP FG% 3P% FT% REB AST STL BLK TO PTS
2018-19 32 69 30.3 40% 37% 81% 2.5 2.3 0.8 0.2 1.3 12.2
Career 724 32.6 43% 38% 83% 3.1 2.2 1.1 0.2 1.3 13.7

Wes had his moments as a Mavericks in the 3+ years he spent in Dallas but for the most part he was loathed by Mavs fans due to his relatively high salary. It was not Wes’ fault that the Mavericks gave him a 4yr/$70M contract but he ended up taking the brunt of Mavericks fan’s frustrations.

Despite the contract, nobody can argue Wes’ hard work, commitment to the team, and shooting ability. 38% from three over his career, totaling 1,555, Wes is 27th all-time in threes made and 13th among active players.

I think there are better options, but having Wes Matthews back at a more reasonable salary would not be the worst thing.

*Warning: there may be explicit language in highlight videos.

 

Curry
Seth Curry
Type 2018 Salary 2019 Option Career Earnings
UFA $2.8 M N/A $9.8 M
Season Age G MP FG% 3P% FT% REB AST STL BLK TO PTS
2018-19 28 74 18.9 46% 45% 85% 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.8 7.9
Career 192 21.6 47% 44% 85% 1.9 1.7 0.7 0.1 1 9.3

Former Dallas Maverick Seth Curry is an absolutely elite three point shooter. He may not have a ton of volume, only 3.6 three point attempts per game, but Curry has the third highest 3 point percentage ALL-TIME at 43.8%.

Curry had some big moments in these Playoffs with the Portland Trailblazers, stepping up in big moments with big shots.  He is not afraid to let it fly but also plays within the team offense and contribute to good ball movement and penetration.

For a team that shot the 4th most three pointers in the NBA this season, finding good, cheap shooters will be key to taking the Mavericks offense to the next level.

*Warning: there may be explicit language in highlight videos.

 

Burke

Trey Burke
Type 2018 Salary 2019 Option Career Earnings
UFA $1.8 M N/A $13.6 M
Season Age G MP FG% 3P% FT% REB AST STL BLK TO PTS
2018-19 26 58 19.4 43% 35% 83% 1.7 2.7 0.6 0.1 0.8 10.9
Career 361 23.6 41% 34% 80% 2.1 3.6 0.6 0.1 1.3 10.9

When the Mavericks season ended I did not think much about bringing Trey Burke back next season but then as I dug into the numbers a bit more I found that he is a more efficient playmaker than I originally thought.

Trey Burke was second in the league in Turnover Percentage (TOV%) for guys that played at least 15 minutes per game and had at least 3.5 assists per 36 minutes. TOV% is an estimate of turnovers per 100 possessions so players with low TOV% and a good number of assists prove to be players who can make opportunities for others without turning the ball over.

Burke is not the most efficient scorer but he is not bad either, with an Effective Field Goal Percentage of 53.2% in 25 games for the Mavs this season.  That mark would have been good enough for 5th in the entire NBA among guards who played at least 15 mpg and scored at least 20 ppg per 36 minutes. When Trey Burke gets hot he can absolutely light it up and get buckets on anyone standing in his way while still be able to make players for others without turning it over.

 

Jones
Tyus Jones
Type 2018 Salary 2019 Option Career Earnings
RFA $2.4 M N/A $6.5 M
Season Age G MP FG% 3P% FT% REB AST STL BLK TO PTS
2018-19 22 68 22.9 42% 32% 84% 2 4.8 1.2 0.1 0.7 6.9
Career 247 17.7 42% 33% 82% 1.5 3.3 1 0.1 0.7 5.1

Tyus Jones excels in two main areas, efficient playmaking and creating turnovers. Jones has 4 years experience in the NBA already and he is still only 22 years old, the same age as rookie Jalen Brunson.

There were 46 players who averaged 4.8 assists per game this season but Tyus Jones’ 6.9 AST/TOV ratio was by far the highest (2nd best was Darren Collison with 3.8 assists for every turnover). That level of playmaking without turning over is unprecedented. Since the year 2000 there have been 369 players to average more than 4.5 assists per game but STILL no other player has come close to Tyus Jones 6.9 AST/TOV ratio (2nd best was Chris Paul in 2013 with an AST/TOV ratio of 4.7).

Jones did not shoot the ball well this year, just 42% from the field and 32% from deep. He has had more efficient shooting seasons such as last year when he shot 46% from the field including 35% from three to go along with a great free throw percentage of 88%. The fact he is so young and shown that he has the ability to shoot well I find hope that his shooting efficiency will improve with age.

Forwards/Centers

 

Morris

Marcus Morris
Type 2018 Salary 2019 Option Career Earnings
UFA $5.8 M N/A $28.7 M
Season Age G MP FG% 3P% FT% REB AST STL BLK TO PTS
2018-19 29 75 27.9 45% 38% 84% 6.1 1.5 0.6 0.3 1.2 13.9
Career 545 26.5 43% 36% 75% 4.6 1.5 0.7 0.3 1.2 11.5

Morris’ best attributes are his 3 point shooting and his defensive versatility, and he does them both very well.  He shot 38% from three point range this season on over 5 attempts per game. To go along with that, Morris is the type of guy you want in at the end of games with 84% shooting from the free throw line.

You would like to see a little more rim protection from the Power Forward position but the uber efficient shooting will let you make some compromises. Defensive versatility is what the Mavericks want to build their defense around.  Morris has the ability to switch on to guards or bigs and still be a quality defender.

You do not sign Morris expecting him to be one of your stars but he has the ability to be a great glue guy and role player for a contending team.  He has shown a knack to hit big shots, he doesn’t back down, and brings a level of toughness that elevates his team.  Still in his prime, I expect Morris to be a great value pickup by a lucky team again this summer.

*Warning: there may be explicit language in highlight videos.

 

Zubac

Ivica Zubac
Type 2018 Salary 2019 Option Career Earnings
RFA $1.5 M N/A $3.9 M
Season Age G MP FG% 3P% FT% REB AST STL BLK TO PTS
2018-19 21 59 17.6 56% 80% 6.1 1.1 0.2 0.9 1.2 8.9
Career 140 14.7 54% 0% 76% 4.6 0.8 0.3 0.7 0.9 6.9

Ivaca Zubac is a 7’1″ 22 year old Center out of Croatia who already has 3 years of NBA experience.  He was traded, along with Michael Beasley, from the Lakers to the Clippers late in the season for Mike Muscala.  It is perplexing why the Lakers made this deal given Zubac’s youth and production.

There were only 10 players in the NBA last season who averaged 15 minutes per game with per 36 minute numbers of over 18 points, 12 rebounds, and 1.5 blocks and Zubac was one of them.

I am sure there are many people that will say a big guy like this who does not shoot threes is out of style in today’s NBA but there are a bunch of great big guys in the league right now and having a big counter of your own is necessary when guys like Embiid, Towns, Davis, Drummond, Vucevic, Jokic, and Ayton are on the schedule.

With his good shooting stroke and very efficient free throw shooting I see Zubac as a young big guy who will develop an effective three point shot in short time. He is a restricted free agent but with the Clippers’ eyes set on multiple big fish in free agency we could see Zubac on the move.

*Warning: there may be explicit language in highlight videos.

 

Holmes
Richaun Holmes
Type 2018 Salary 2019 Option Career Earnings
UFA $1.6 M N/A $5.1 M
Season Age G MP FG% 3P% FT% REB AST STL BLK TO PTS
2018-19 25 70 16.9 61% 73% 4.7 0.9 0.6 1.1 0.7 8.2
Career 226 16.9 57% 26% 71% 4.4 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.7 7.7

Richaun Holmes is a rim running big who is a really good rebounder and shot blocker with impressive per 36 minute numbers of 17 points, 10 rebounds, 2.4 blocks, and 1.3 steals.  Anthony Davis is the only other player in the league to match that level of per 36 minute production.

Holmes was traded from the 76ers to the Suns in July of 2018 for simple cash consideration as Philadelphia just wanted to free up a roster spot to sign Jonah Bolden. He is an elite shot blocker but needs to be a bit more disciplined and work on defending the rim without fouling as he averaged a league high 5.9 fouls per 36 minutes. That is obviously not good, but as a high energy rim protecting big off the bench in limited minutes can still be a very productive role for Holmes. He does not have much offensive game but his efficiency while rolling to the basket fits very nicely into the Mavericks offensive system, just ask Dwight Powell.

*Warning: there may be explicit language in highlight videos.

 

Portis
Bobby Portis
Type 2018 Salary 2019 Option Career Earnings
RFA $2.5 M N/A $6.9 M
Season Age G MP FG% 3P% FT% REB AST STL BLK TO PTS
2018-19 23 50 26 44% 39% 79% 8.1 1.4 0.7 0.4 1.5 14.2
Career 249 20.3 46% 36% 75% 6.2 1.1 0.5 0.3 1.1 10.2

Bobby Portis was the 22nd pick by the Chicago Bulls in the 2015 draft out of Arkansas and has worked himself into being one of the best shooting big guys in the NBA.  There were only 3 players in the NBA to average at least 10 rebounds and 2 three pointers made per 36 minutes along with Karl-Anthony Towns and Lauri Markkanen.

Rebounding and good shooting are two areas that the Mavericks need serious improvement and Portis is great at both. Portis and Porzingis as your starting forwards would open up the floor and allow Luka Doncic a ton of room to operate in the lane and find shooters on the perimeter. Also, his muscle and rebounding paired with Porzingis shot blocking ability seems to be a nice fit on the defensive end.

Portis is a restricted free agent but with the Washington Wizards strapped for cash due to the Wall and Beal deals, they will not likely not come at Portis with a huge offer.

*Warning: there may be explicit language in highlight videos.

 

davis
Ed Davis
Type 2018 Salary 2019 Option Career Earnings
UFA $4.4 M N/A $34.8 M
Season Age G MP FG% 3P% FT% REB AST STL BLK TO PTS
2018-19 29 81 17.9 62% 0% 62% 8.6 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.8 5.8
Career 640 20.2 57% 0% 58% 6.8 0.8 0.5 0.8 0.8 6.5

Ed Davis is one of the best rebounders in the entire NBA, offensively and defensively.  For players who average at least 15 minutes per game Davis was 4th in the NBA in Offensive Rebound Percentage, 4th in Defensive Rebound Percentage, and 3rd in Total Rebound Percentage.

Davis does not have much offensive game but he can definitely roll and finish efficiently at the rim. He does not block many shots but his rebounding is so good that he is a good defensive player when paired with a shot blocker.  

Davis’ 62% free throw shooting is just awful but maybe we can hook him up with the same sports psychologist as DeAndre Jordan to bump that up 10 percentage points in a single offseason? If only it were that easy.

 

Dedmon

Dewayne Dedmon
Type 2018 Salary 2019 Option Career Earnings
UFA $7.2 M N/A $17.9 M
Season Age G MP FG% 3P% FT% REB AST STL BLK TO PTS
2018-19 29 64 25.1 49% 38% 81% 7.5 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.3 10.8
Career 350 18.3 53% 37% 72% 6 0.7 0.5 0.9 0.9 6.5

Dewayne Dedmon is a 7’0″ Center who can rebound, block shots, and shoot threes. Only Karl-Anthony Towns was the only other player last season to post per 36 minute numbers of at least 10 rebounds, 1.5 blocks, and 1.5 threes.

Dedmon’s screen setting and spot up shooting would be a devastating component to a Mavericks offense with Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis surrounding him. It would give Dallas the opportunity to put 5 legit three point shooters on the floor at the same time while not sacrificing anything on the defensive end. It is hard to say what will happen with the soon to be 30 year old in free agency but I expect several teams to be in the mix given his combination of shooting and shot blocking.

*Warning: there may be explicit language in highlight videos.

Bryant

Thomas Bryant
Type 2018 Salary 2019 Option Career Earnings
RFA $1.4 M N/A $2.2 M
Season Age G MP FG% 3P% FT% REB AST STL BLK TO PTS
2018-19 21 72 20.8 62% 33% 78% 6.3 1.3 0.3 0.9 0.8 10.5
Career 87 18 61% 31% 77% 5.4 1.1 0.3 0.8 0.7 9

Similar to Bobby Portis, Thomas Bryant is a Washington Wizards big man who is a Restricted Free Agent.  Whats enticing about Thomas Bryant is his age, productivity, and efficiency. Despite shooting 33% from three, Bryant’s 64.8 Effective Field Goal Percentage is a very good number for someone who averages 18 points, 11 rebounds, and 1.6 blocks per 36 minutes.

Thomas shot super efficiently around the rim, very solid from the free throw line, and is in the beginning stages of developing his three point shot but made a respectable 33% of his 1.4 threes per game. As free agency winds down and money dries up, Bryant may be available at a very reasonable price for his age and production.

 

Oldies But Goodies

Crawford

Jamal Crawford
Type 2018 Salary 2019 Option Career Earnings
UFA $2.3 M N/A $121.6 M
Season Age G MP FG% 3P% FT% REB AST STL BLK TO PTS
2018-19 38 64 18.9 40% 33% 85% 1.3 3.6 0.5 0.2 1.5 7.9
Career 1326 29.4 41% 35% 86% 2.2 3.4 0.9 0.2 1.9 14.6

Jamal Crawford can still get buckets. All Mavericks fans know this due to his 51 point explosion in Dirk’s last homes game. Crawford has some of the nastiest handles ever and when he is hot he is absolutely unguardable.

I wouldn’t want Crawford to come in and play major minutes but he would be a great weapon to have off the bench when you are in need of scoring and playmaking. If Crawford is only going to demand $2.3 million per year again this coming season, I wouldn’t hate it if it was for the Mavs.

*Warning: there may be explicit language in highlight videos.

 

cartevi01

Vince Carter
Type 2018 Salary 2019 Option Career Earnings
UFA $2.4 M N/A $184 M
Season Age G MP FG% 3P% FT% REB AST STL BLK TO PTS
2018-19 42 76 17.5 42% 39% 71% 2.6 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.6 7.4
Career 1481 30.7 44% 37% 80% 4.4 3.2 1 0.6 1.7 17.2

I really want this one to happen, the return of Vince Carter to the Dallas Mavericks. Some of it is selfish nostalgia from Vince producing one of the most exciting moments I have witnessed in the American Airlines Center when he hit the buzzer beater against the Spurs to go up 2-1 in the 2014 Playoffs.

Aside from that, Carter is still a very efficient shooter and would be a great mentor and teacher for the young Mavericks core. 37% for his career and 39% this season from three point range makes Carter an ideal spot up shooting fit to pair with Luka Doncic.

*Warning: there may be explicit language in highlight videos.

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