Mavs Free Agency: All the Shooters

The NBA has become 3 crazy and the Dallas Mavericks are no exception. They are already near the top of the league in three point attempts and now have stars in Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis that will make elite shooters even more effective. A primary focus of the Mavericks free agency this summer should be to surround these two with top level shooters so this offense can reach its potential. This is a summary of why the Mavs need shooters, what makes a good shooter, and who the best shooters are that are potentially available this summer.

Top 3 Reasons Why Mavs Need Shooters

1. The Mavs shoot a ton of 3’s

The Mavericks are a team that has set their franchise record in three point attempts each of the last 4 seasons. They ranked 4th in the entire NBA in three point attempts in 2018-2019 and have been in the top 6 in the NBA in each of the last 4 seasons.

They have shot a ton, the problem is just that they have a hard time making them, ranking 27th in the NBA in 3PT% with 34%. If we are going to be among league leaders in taking threes can we please build a better rotation of three point shooters?

With the two main pieces of this team being Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis there is no reason to think this trend will change anytime soon. Luka shot 7.1 threes per game this year and Porzingis shot 4.8 per game before his injury in the 2017-2018 season. Those are pretty high numbers but would only make up 11.9 threes of the 36.6 threes that the Mavs average per game.

2. Luka Will Find Them

There are plenty of shots left to go around and if we put good shooters on the court, Luka Doncic will find them. His ability to whip the ball anywhere on the court at anytime makes having knock down shooters on the perimeter even more valuable.

Luka and Dwight Powell have already developed a deadly pick-and-roll game. Powell has proven to be a very efficient finisher and has become a master of reading the pick-and-roll defender and darting to the basket at the perfect time. Luka then uses his great vision and ball wizardry to find him for high flying lobs or on the money zip passes.

The gravity that this pick-and-roll action generates makes it even more important to have good shooters on the perimeter. In order to stop help side defenders from being able to bail on their man to contest the roll man the Mavs need efficient shooters all around. The Doncic/Powell pick-and-roll combined with a stable of shooters leaves opposing defenses with no right answer on how to stop it.

3. Kristaps Needs and Creates Space

This one is really two-fold, Kristaps Porzingis needs space and he can also create space, but I don’t have to explain that to a Dallas Mavericks fan base that has watched Dirk Nowitzki wreak havoc from the high post for the last 21 years.

Having good shooters around Porzingis prevents too many guys from crashing onto Porzingis’ back when operating in the post. This would give Porzingis the space to deploy his full offensive arsenal, he could face up and shake slower defenders with his ball handling and length or he can go to the unstoppable fadeaway against smaller defenders.

On the flip side, the gravity that Porzingis can attract when he starts having his was in a 1 on 1 matchup can create extra time and space for shooters on the perimeter. Porzingis will undoubtedly draw some double teams this year, making elite three point shooters even more effective.

What 3PT% Makes a Good Shooter?

To figure out the answer to this question I first looked the Dallas Mavericks two point shooting percentage (2PT%) and how many points that generated per 100 possessions. Then I calculated what 3PT% would net out the same amount of points per 100 possessions. In order for the Mavericks to benefit from their strategy of shooting a ton of threes it is a reasonable estimate to say that they need to shoot better than 35% to make it effective.

2Pt 3Pt
Shooting % 52.40% 34.93%
PTS/100 Poss 104.80 104.80

There are 58 free agents potentially available this summer who shot 35% or better from three point range in 2018-2019. Luckily for the Dallas Mavericks there are bunch of shooters available that can help them improve and get the most out of their stars.

58 Potential Free Agent Shooters:

At least 35% from three in 2018-2019. Sorted by position and ranked by highest 3PT%
Point Guards 3PT%
Malcolm Brogdon 42.6
Darren Collison 40.7
Quin Cook 40.5
Kyrie Irving 40.1
Patrick Beverley 39.7
Ryan Arcidiacono 37.3
Derrick Rose 37
D’Angelo Russell 36.9
Jerian Grant 36.4
Kemba Walker 35.6
Terry Rozier 35.3
Trey Burke 35.2

 

Shooting Guards 3PT%
Danny Green 45.5
Seth Curry 45
Klay Thompson 40.2
J.J. Redick 39.7
Tomas Satoransky 39.5
Vince Carter 38.9
Terrence Ross 38.3
Reggie Bullock 37.7
Wesley Matthews 37.2
Nik Stauskas 37.2
Lance Stephenson 37.1
Wayne Ellington 37.1
Alec Burks 36.3
Rodney Hood 35.6
Tyreke Evans 35.6
Rodney McGruder 35.1

 

Small Forwards 3PT%
Bojan Bogdanovic 42.5
Rudy Gay 40.2
Tobias Harris 39.7
Harrison Barnes 39.5
Khris Middleton 37.8
Wilson Chandler 37.3
Kawhi Leonard 37.1
Darius Miller 36.5
Kevin Durant 35.3
James Ennis III 35.3
Jared Dudley 35.1

 

Power Forwards 3PT%
Dante Cunningham 46.2
Bobby Portis 40.3
JaMychal Green 40.3
Mike Scott 40.1
Kristaps Porzingis 39.5
Daniel Theis 38.8
Anthony Tolliver 37.7
Marcus Morris 37.5
Jonas Jerebko 36.7
Nikola Mirotic 36.5
Paul Millsap 36.5
Frank Kaminsky 36
Maxi Kleber 35.3

 

Centers 3PT%
Dewayne Dedmon 38.2
Brook Lopez 36.5
Nikola Vucevic 36.4
Marc Gasol 36.3
Al Horford 36

The Best of the Best – Top 10

These are the guys that take a lot of shots and make a lot of shots. The players that will help the most to improve the Dallas Mavericks team percentage are not just the players who make 3’s at a high rate but those who can also do it with a higher volume of shots. To narrow the 58 potential free agent shooters down a bit, let’s look at the top 10 potential free agents in 3PT% who shot at least 5 threes per 36 minutes played and shot at least 200 total for the 2018-2019 season.

Player 3PT% Att/36 Min
Danny Green 45.5 7.1
Seth Curry 45 6.5
Bojan Bogdanovic 42.5 5.4
Quin Cook 40.5 6.8
Bobby Portis 40.3 5.6
Klay Thompson 40.2 8.1
Kyrie Irving 40.1 7.1
Mike Scott 40.1 6.5
J.J. Redick 39.7 9.2
Tobias Harris 39.7 5

Honorable mentions to Malcolm Brogdon (42.6%) and Patrick Beverley (39.7%) who would have made the list but shot just under 5 threes per 36 minutes.

Bringing in any of the above players would greatly help the team win. The Mavericks are a team that has set the franchise record in three point attempts each of the last 4 seasons. They ranked 4th in the entire NBA in three point attempts in 2018-2019 and have been in the top 6 each of the last 4 seasons.

Since the Mavs shoot a ton of threes, Kristaps can give them the room to operate, and Luka Doncic can find them anywhere, the Mavericks top goal this offseason should be to bring in some top level shooting talent to take this offense over the top.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s